NDC to win December 7 election by 54% – Fitch Solutions

Research and data firm, Fitch Solutions, has predicted that the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) will defeat the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) in Ghana’s upcoming general elections scheduled for December 7.

This is not the first time the firm has made this prediction, having consistently forecasted an NDC victory since last year.

According to Fitch Solutions; a London-based firm, a recent survey conducted showed that 54% of respondents favored NDC’s presidential candidate, John Mahama, to win the election.

The firm attributes this to the current economic conditions in the country, which it believes will significantly influence voter decision during election.

“We believe that the opposition NDC has a stronger chance of winning the upcoming general elections compared to the ruling NPP,” said Mike Kruiniger, Associate Director of Country Risk at Fitch Solutions.

“Recent polls consistently place the NDC ahead with the most recent survey showing 54% of respondents favouring the NDC.”

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Kruiniger emphasized that economic management and job creation are the most critical issues for voters, which may disadvantage the NPP given the economic challenges Ghana has faced in recent years.

“Economic management and job creation are going to be the most important issues during the election for voters which we believe will put the ruling NPP at a disadvantage given the economic challenges that the country has faced over the last couple of years,” he said.

Fitch Solutions also predicts that a potential NDC government under Mahama is likely to continue the policy direction initiated by the current administration.

According to Kruiniger, “The NDC will most likely stick to Ghana’s IMF programme particularly as the party has shown commitment in the past to international agreements and obligations.

So in summary, we expect policy continuation in Ghana despite a likely government change.”

When asked what a change in government would mean for Ghana’s economy, Kruiniger stated that while there may be some changes in policy priorities, overall policy direction is likely to remain consistent.

“In terms of what a government change will mean for the economy, we think that policy direction under a likely NDC government will not largely change.

The party has shown commitment to international agreements and obligations, so we don’t expect a radical shift in policy direction.”

The prediction comes as a surprise to many, given the NPP’s strong reputation and infrastructure development initiatives under President Akufo-Addo’s administration.

However, Fitch Solutions believes that economic management and job creation will be key issues for voters, which may swing the pendulum in favor of the opposition party.

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