With Trump’s surprise election now 4 years behind us, many have been surprised by the dedication and vibrancy shown by his core fanbase. But more important ahead of the 2020 American Elections, what trends Should we anticipate in the 2020 American elections and Trump’s chances of winning?
Approval ratings for the businessman have generally exceeded the expectations from when he first got the keys to the Oval office as President of the United States. The initial joke Republican candidate now looks like he may be set for another four years as President, much to the horror of Democrats and left-wingers.
Although he’s proved as polarising a figure as his initial campaign suggested, polls for his potential Democrat opponents look mostly bleak. Establishment figure Joe Biden is often promoted to primary delegates as ‘electable’ but polls behind Trump when the two are put against one another. The same goes for Mayor Pete Buttigieg, ex-Republican Elizabeth Warren, and Amy Klobuchar.
One potential competitor in the 2020 American Election who offers more hope is Bernie Sanders. Although critics in America claim that he is too ‘radical’ to be electable, polls consistently show him as offering the best chance against Trump. The president even tweeted a doctored photo of one poll that showed him ahead of all candidates except Sanders, who’s metric had been cut out of the picture.
Although Sanders movement has been building steam for years, his relatively ‘radical’ (by American standards) stance may be playing in his favour since Trump is perceived as a radical of another sort. Whilst Trump can mobilise voters that potentially wouldn’t make it to the polling station without such a striking message, the predictable centrism of most of the Democratic candidates could potentially leave them lagging come election day. Sanders’ more ear-catching proposals may remedy that.
One newcomer to the discussion is Michael Bloomberg, the ex-mayor of New York. Policy-wise, Bloomberg seems to offer possibly the worst of the bunch. His racist and sexist history could potentially appeal to an anti-PC base that is already firmly under Trump’s control but will at the same time disengage many long-standing and new potential Democrat voters. The rest of his offering of hyper-centrism is also unlikely to capture any minds not already won by the highly experienced Biden.
However, Bloomberg’s not-so-secret weapon is his wealth. Bloomberg isn’t just Trump-lever rich though. His total value is estimated at over ten-fold of the current president either.
His current wealth almost reaches a staggering $50billion. Bloomberg funnelled this wealth into advertising to catapult himself out of nowhere to an initial 2nd in the Democrat polls. He’s not yet won any delegates, but Super Tuesday may be the moment where we find out whether if such vast sums of money can lift an individual into the running for the White House.
Domestic affairs in the next few months may prove decisive, and Trump will have to start patching up his clumsy response to the Coronavirus threat soon if he doesn’t want the disease to derail his campaign for the 2020 American Election.
As things currently stand, the only Democratic candidate that polls suggest will beat Trump is leading the primaries. However, a lot can change by then, including Sanders nationwide popularity slipping or another Democrat coming to the forefront. At the moment, Trump has a slight advantage, but don’t bet on him.
Trump’s chances of winning look favoruable than adverse as the 2020 American Election draws closer.